H ere's where Tammy is located today . Hurricane Tammy Tsunami ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has actually enhanced modestly since Friday night.
The storm enhanced into a cyclone on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual place for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy needs to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The route northward far from the Caribbean has become less specific. Tammy was at first anticipated to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer system assistance is now recommending that the storm may drift around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) became a big and extremely effective cyclone that triggered huge damage and considerable loss of life. It is the costliest typhoon to ever strike the United States, going beyond the record formerly held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest death in Typhoon Katrina was because of flooding triggered by engineering flaws in the flood defense system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, along with large locations in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon warnings have actually now been provided for numerous islands in the northeast Caribbean. That indicates typhoon conditions are anticipated in some of these locations. You can see the current cautions and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy ought to spread out throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some areas.
Rain totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area up to 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (in your area approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might trigger flooding and mudslides in a few of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Cyclone Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were happening over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the hurricane center.
Norma is anticipated to be slightly weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a cyclone that could bring lethal conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a few hundred thousand people, the typhoon center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Hurricane Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has activated hurricane cautions for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island nations and areas in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a risk to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved maximum sustained winds of 85 miles per hour and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 hurricane lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the typhoon center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward up to 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is only the 3rd cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic since 1900, according to typhoon specialist Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic since 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon specialists previously alerted typhoons might form in unusual locations later in the season this year because of the extremely warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most major hazards and could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain needs to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy